Nothing transformative happening at Descartes Systems this year, says Industrial Alliance

Nick Waddell · Founder of Cantech Letter
March 31, 2017 at 1:00pm ADT 2 min read
Last updated on May 20, 2020 at 3:29pm ADT
descartes systems
Descartes CEO Ed Ryan.

Industrial Alliance Securities analyst Blair Abernethy says that after attending the company’s annual user conference he feels positive about Descartes Systems Group (Descartes Systems Group Stock Quote, Chart, News: TSX:DSG, Nasadaq:DSGX), but cautions that this is not a year the Waterloo company will be shaking things up.

In a research update to clients today, Abernethy maintained his “Hold” rating and one-year price target of $23.00 on Descartes, implying a return of 1.1 per cent at the time of publication.

Abernethy says there were a couple key takeaways from the conference. The first is that he expects M&A to be the key revenue driver for the company, and that internally it is focused on “incremental” innovation, with a lot of focus on the integration of recently acquired products. Shares of Descartes have more than doubled since 2014, but the analyst says 2017 is not a year he expects any crazy upside.

“In our opinion, it is “steady as she goes” at Descartes this year, Abernethy says. “We don’t see anything transformative happening on the product or partner front, or anything highly disruptive or risky occurring on the horizon.”

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Abernethy thinks Descartes will generate EBITDA of $78.5-million on revenue of $227.2-million in fiscal 2018. He expects these numbers will improve to EBITDA of $84.1-million on a topline of $240.4-million the following year.

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Nick Waddell

Founder of Cantech Letter

Cantech Letter founder and editor Nick Waddell has lived in five Canadian provinces and is proud of his country's often overlooked contributions to the world of science and technology. Waddell takes a regular shift on the Canadian media circuit, making appearances on CTV, CBC and BNN, and contributing to publications such as Canadian Business and Business Insider.

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