Amazon is our top “Mega Cap” stock pick for 2025, Roth says

He is back from the 13th annual AWS Re:Invent conference and Roth MKM analyst Rohit Kulkarni has raised his price target on Amazon (Amazon Stock Quote, Chart, News, Analysts, Financials NASDAQ:AMZN).

More than 65,000 attendees descended on Las Vegas last week for the global Cloud conference. The event featured more than 60 product announcements. Kulkarni says he gained confidence in the stock from the three days he attended, leading him to maintain his “Buy” rating and raise his price target from $220.00 to $250.00.

“We are tweaking up our 2025 estimates,” he wrote. “PT goes to $250. We are incrementally confident in Cloud demand as Gen AI capabilities graduate beyond proof-of-concept as the ROI comes into view. Also, we believe AWS is on the cusp of accelerating growth in AI Cloud driven by leadership in Internet Cloud infrastructure. And, Amazon’s full stack AI cloud has come together more quickly than we had previously assumed with Bedrock, Foundational Models, and in-house silicon. Finally, CEO Jassy highlighted how AWS’s Gen AI investments are leading to greater efficiency in Retail, likely leading to margin upside. AMZN is our top Mega Cap pick for 2025.”

Kulkarni explained the reasoning behind his new price target.

“Our sum-of-parts valuation implies $2.70tn market cap ($860bn for Retail, $1,090bn for AWS, and $800bn for Advertising/Subscriptions/Other), and our $250 PT (from $220) implies approx. 16.4x ‘25E EBITDA and 40x ’25E GAAP EPS. We believe this methodology appropriately attributes value across Amazon’s three business segments with different growth and margin profiles,” he concluded.