Today, after market, Solium will report its fourth quarter and fiscal 2014 results. Krneta expects that the company’s fourth quarter revenue will grow 10.7% year-over-year to $19.2-million, slightly lower than street consensus of $19.6-million. He thinks Solium will remain at the high end of its own EBITDA target of 20-25%.
The analyst says he is looking for clarity on the company’s international expansion plans.
“We expect organic growth in Canada with the US subdued due to the ever-present competitive pressures,” he said. “The rollout in the UK remains ongoing, but a surge in seats served through its white-labelling is unlikely. Thus, much of the focus should stay outside of North America”.
Krneta says that with uptake slower than expected in the UK, the Australian market remains a viable option for the company.
In a research update to clients yesterday, Krneta maintained his “Buy” rating and one-year target of $9.50 on Solium Capital, implying a return of 19% at the time of publication. He says further upside could come from a “more aggressive approach to capital allocations”, and thinks the current valuation is mispricing the company’s growth potential.
At press time, shares of Solium Capital were down 2% to $6.77.
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