M Partners analyst Ron Shuttleworth raises target on Redknee to $3.75

 

Redknee’s own projections about its ability to integrate the assets its acquired from Nokia Siemens Networks are too conservative, says Cantor Fitzgerald Canada analyst Justin Kew.

M Partners analyst Ron Shuttleworth says the business Redknee (Redknee Solutions Stock Quote, Chart, News: TSX:RKN) acquired through Nokia Siemens Networks is showing signs of stickiness and stability.

Shuttleworth notes that, over the past few days, Redknee has announced some meaningful customer renewals. He believes each of these deals will represent $3-million to $4-million in annualized revenue, and many are incorporating room for future LTE developments. He says this suggests to him that the Nokia Siemens Networks business will be low churn.

This development, says Shuttleworth, has led him to raise his revenue estimate on the company for fiscal 2014. In a research update to clients this morning, the M Partners analyst maintained his BUY recommendation and increased his 12-month price target on Redknee to $3.75, up from $3.30.

Last December, Redknee surprised the market with the announcement of the $54-million acquisition of certain assets owned by Nokia Siemens Networks’ Business Support Systems. Shuttleworth, who called the acquisition “transformational”, said Redknee had gained a major footprint into the tier-one carrier market, instantly adding 35 such customers. Redknee added a total of 130 customers in ninety countries, 90% of which were new to the company.

Shares of the Mississauga-based company, which had been languishing at just over a dollar in the time before the acquisition, have nearly tripled in the time since.

Shuttleworth estimates that Redknee acquired about $170-million in revenue as a result of the acquisition, and he now believes that the company should be able to grow that by about 10% in fiscal 2014. Today, The M Partners analyst moved his revenue estimate for Redknee’s fiscal 2014 to $255.6-million, up from $238.6-million he had previously modeled.

Shares of Redknee Solutions closed today down 1.3% to $3.10.

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Nick Waddell

Cantech Letter founder and editor Nick Waddell has lived in five Canadian provinces and is proud of his country's often overlooked contributions to the world of science and technology. Waddell takes a regular shift on the Canadian media circuit, making appearances on CTV, CBC and BNN, and contributing to publications such as Canadian Business and Business Insider.

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